Friday, February 20, 2026

After January results, growth projection for 2026 drops to 4.0%

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January has already given the first signs of what could be the economic growth for the rest of the year 2026, and based on that data, a growth of 4.00% is projected for this year, 50 points less than the projections of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.

"Real GDP growth expectations for 2026 remain stable compared to December, staying around 4.00%," says the report on the results of the Macroeconomic Expectations Survey, which is published monthly by the Central Bank.

The report explains that most experts attribute this forecast mainly to the recent dynamism of domestic demand and the recent behavior of investment.

The Central Bank also reported that the consumer price index (CPI) registered a monthly variation of 0.40% in January 2026.

This result continues to reflect the lagged effects of adverse weather conditions on the production and marketing of some agricultural goods, associated with the intense rains recorded at the end of last year, including those linked to the Melissa storm.

Since the end of last year, the World Bank projected that the Dominican economy will lead regional growth in 2026, with an increase in real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of approximately 4.5%, this figure is similar to that estimated by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

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